NEON Ecological Forecast Challenge - Forecast performance

This page visualizes the forecasts and forecast performance for the focal target variables. Only forecasts from a subset of NEON sites are shown. If you want to see your forecasts or scores, the links can be found in our forecast catalog and scores catalog

Most recent forecasts

Only the top-performing models from the last 30 days are shown.

Forecasts submitted on 2024-12-06

Forecast summaries are available here

Forecast analysis

Below are forecasts submitted 30 days ago and include the observations used to evaluate them. Mouse over to see the team id, scroll to zoom. Only the top five performing models are shown. Information on how to access the scores can be found in our catalog

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Aggregated scores

Average skill scores of each model across all sites.

Scores are shown by reference date and forecast horizon (in days).

Scores are averaged across all submissions of the model with a given horizon or a given reference_datetime using submissions made since in the last 30 days for the daily or sub-daily variables and the past year for the weekly variables

Learn about the continuous ranked probability score here

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